The shadow of Moscow over Burkina Faso

Luca Iotti . 11/07/2024 . Reading time: 3 minutes

Burkina Faso is currently at the center of a complex security situation, influenced by both internal and external dynamics that are reshaping the balance of power in the Sahel region. This article examines the key factors shaping the security landscape in the country. The Sahel, and particularly Burkina Faso, is experiencing a period of profound geopolitical transformation. In recent years, we have witnessed a series of events that have significantly altered the balance of power in the region. Military coups have rocked several countries, including Burkina Faso itself. These regime changes have often been followed by the expulsion of French and, in some cases, American military forces. In this power vacuum, Russia has emerged as a new “security” actor in the region, reshaping alliances and dynamics of influence. The Sahel remains one of the epicenters of global jihadist activity, with groups linked to Al Qaeda and the Islamic State actively operating in the region. Burkina Faso, in particular, has seen a significant increase in terrorist attacks in recent years, severely testing the government’s ability to ensure the safety of its citizens. This persistent threat has profoundly influenced both the country’s internal politics and international relations. In this context of instability, Russia has presented itself as a new security partner. The Russian approach includes a combination of technical-military assistance, training of local forces, and deployment of troops. Initially, this presence manifested through the Wagner mercenary group, now replaced by Africa Corps. This evolution of Russian presence fits into the Kremlin’s broader strategy of expanding its influence in Africa, at a time when its relations with the West are severely compromised.

It is important to emphasize that the situation in Burkina Faso is not simply the result of external influences. Internal factors play a crucial role in shaping the country’s security landscape. A widespread anti-French sentiment, rooted in colonial history and fueled by the perception of ineffective French counterterrorism strategy, has helped shape recent political choices. Additionally, there is a growing distrust of Western political models, including democracy. These factors have pushed the country to seek new international partners who, in the eyes of many, seem to respect national sovereignty more. Burkina Faso now faces significant challenges that will determine its future. The priority remains effectively countering the jihadist threat, which continues to destabilize vast areas of the country. At the same time, the government must learn to manage the new security dynamics with partners like Russia, balancing potential benefits with geopolitical risks. On the domestic front, it is crucial to address the socio-economic issues that fuel instability and provide fertile ground for recruitment by extremist groups. Finally, the country must find a delicate balance between the need for external assistance and the strong desire for national autonomy that has emerged in recent years. The security situation in Burkina Faso remains fluid and complex. As the country navigates between various international influences and addresses internal threats, the international community will need to rethink its approach to the region. Only through an engagement that respects the sovereignty and aspirations of Sahelian countries can we hope to achieve lasting stability in the region. The future of Burkina Faso will depend on its ability to manage these multiple challenges, balancing internal security with international relations in a rapidly evolving geopolitical context.

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